Welcome back, everybody!

I hope you watched lots of great movies during your break. Maybe you even caught a few of this year’s Oscar nominees. The Oscars will be Sunday, Feb. 24 this year. Here are my early predictions for the winners:

Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis in “Lincoln.” Historical drama with a notoriously weird-yet-talented leading man? I’m pretty sure Day-Lewis has this one. It wouldn’t surprise me too much to see Bradley Cooper or Hugh Jackman get it, but it would not surprise me if Day-Lewis wins.

Best Actress: Emmanuelle Riva in “Amour.” Jessica Chastain is also an extremely likely choice, but I’ve heard a lot of buzz about Riva, who is the oldest-ever nominee for Best Actress. Less likely, but just as deserving, would be the youngest-ever Best Actress nominee, Quvenzhané Wallis. The star of “Beasts of the Southern Wild” is both adorable and powerful.

Best Supporting Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman in “The Master.” Full discretion, I haven’t seen “The Master,” so I have no idea how he did, but it seems like Hoffman is getting a lot of favor on this. Still, to my pleasant surprise, Christoph Waltz beat him out at the Golden Globes for “Django Unchained,” and maybe he can do it again. I would have personally put Leonardo Dicaprio on the nominee list for Best Supporting Actor for “Django” instead, but Leo must have displeased the god of award shows, because he never seems to get anything. Poor Leo.

Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway in “Les Misérables.” I am notoriously hard-hearted when I watch movies where people are sad and die. I’m munching popcorn while everyone else is crying and I have little patience for sappy movies. But come on, Hathaway stole this one like it was a loaf of bread.

Best Picture: OK guys, I’ll admit it. I’m stumped. “Argo” got the Golden Globe, but then Kathryn Bigelow knows how to make a war movie that gets awards. “Silver Linings Playbook” just seemed awesome as hell, and “Amour” is that movie that everyone who you secretly resent for being smarter than you has already seen. Historical dramas always do well, so “Lincoln” and “Les Mis” have a shot… I just don’t know which way the Academy is going to lean.