Punt, Pass and Pick: Week 5
Jon: WE DID IT TOWSON. I finally won Punt Pass and Pick by a legitimate margin.
I’d like to thank the Detroit Lions and the New England Patriots for making this possible.
And like the Cleveland Browns, I expect to continue my winning streak, but instead of playing the Buffalo Bills on Thursday night I just get Curt, my former roommate and current friend.
Curt: Hi, my name is Curt Zanelotti. I’m a chemistry major here at Towson University, and I’m also the co-author to the blog “Both Sides of the Bench.” It’s there that I try to bring sports knowledge in the form of arguments with the other author.
Enough of about blogging, I’m here to crush Jonathan Munshaw for the second time and teach the ex-Browns fan a little about football.
New England +1 at Cincinnati
The Bengals looked really bad against the Browns in Week 4. Partially because Cleveland’s defense is actually good but the Bengals offense just couldn’t get anything going.
This is going to be a really close game, mainly because of the loss of Vince Wilfork for the year. Without Wilfork, the Patriots run defense becomes a major weakness, and the 1-2 punch of Giovani Bernard and BenJarvus Green-Ellis had been effective up until Week 4.
I think the Bengals rebound this week and control the clock, keeping the ball out of Tom Brady’s hands.
Bengals 20, Patriots 17
Curt: New England enters Cincinnati with a 4-0 record that hasn’t looked pretty along the way. Each game I feel they are just squeaking by with the win. The game at Cincinnati will be different though.
I predict New England will lose this game after the loss of their defensive leader, Vince Wilfork, with a torn Achilles. I also believe that A.J. Green will be able to destroy Aqib Talib much like Julio Jones did on Sunday night.
The defense of Cincinnati looks to become of the leagues powerhouses in this game against one of the leagues top quarterbacks in Tom Brady.
Bengals 24- Patriots 21
Seattle -2.5 at Indianapolis
Jon: For the first half of Seattle’s game against the Houston Texans, they looked like the worse offense in the NFL.
Russell Wilson had one fantasy point through two quarters, but magically turned it around in the second half to force overtime with the Texans and eventually picked up a win.
This game won’t be nearly as close. The Colts are a nice story, but they are 23rd in the league in passing offense and the Seahawks are in the top five in the league in terms of total yardage.
Ahmad Bradshaw could miss this one once again, and newly acquired Trent Richardson only averaged three yards per carry against the Jacksonville Jaguars. (Side note: this trade isn’t looking too bad for the Browns right about now).
Seattle’s defense is just too good for the Colts to just rely on Reggie Wayne in the passing game, and the Seahawks cover the spread in this game.
Seattle 21, Indianapolis 14
Curt: Seattle at Indianapolis looks to be the best game this weekend as I believe both of these teams are in the top 5 in the league. Will Trent Richardson be able to average more than 3 yards a carry? Will Andrew Luck be able to throw the ball on one of the best secondary the league has ever seen? I believe both of these answers are no.
The Seahawks will be lead by their defense and their offense will do just enough to not throw away the game. Richard Sherman will lock down Reggie Wayne of the Colts making it so T.Y. Hilton will have to step up for the Colts to get a win. Marshawn Lynch will lead the Seahawks offense with at least 100 yards on the ground and a touchdown.
Seahawks 24- Colts 14
New Orleans +1 at Chicago
Jon: I have no idea why the Bears are favored in this game. Jay Cutler threw three picks in Week 4 against the Lions, while the Saints hung 38 points on the Miami Dolphins.
New Orleans has a better defense than people give them credit for. The secondary has forced seven interceptions, and the defense has recovered three fumbles, forcing three others. That makes for a +5 turnover margin for the Saints.
That’s terrible news for the Bears, who have given up 10 turnovers this year, although they have forced an amazing 12 fumbles. But the turnovers in this game will be too much for Chicago to overcome.
Saints 30, Bears 20
Curt: New Orleans has looked good this season as the defense looks to be much improved with Rob Ryan at the helm.
New Orleans has been brought to life with the defenses ability to get turnovers and Drew Brees, well, has looked like Drew Brees. The Bears are lead by their defense which features the leagues best ball hawking cornerbacks that have the ability to spring the game in the Bears favor during any throw.
The problem with the Bears remains their offensive line, which continues to let Jay Cutler get abused. Cutler again looks to be favoring Brandon Marshall this year so look for the Saints to load his side with defensive backs in an attempt to stop the Bears Offense. The Saints will win this game on the back of a 400-yard performance from Drew Brees. Saints 35- Bears 21
Detroit +6.5 at Green Bay
Jon: While I may be jumping on the Brian Hoyer bandwagon in Cleveland, I’m still following the Lions pretty closely, which means I saw them put up 40 points on the Bears.
Detroit has the fifth-best passing offense in the league, and Matt Stafford could easily throw for 350 yards against the Green Bay Packers, who are allowing an average of 311 passing yards per game to opponents.
This is almost a must-win game for the Packers, who are currently 1-2 and would find themselves in third place in the NFC North if they lose this one.
Green Bay will have running back Eddie Lacy back, but James Starks, the team’s leading rusher, could miss the game with a knee injury. The Packers have always suffered because they don’t have a running game, and that will come back to haunt them in this shootout.
Lions 35, Packers 32
Curt: Green Bay vs. Detroit features the leagues best offenses.
Aaron Rodgers and their trio of receivers, Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, and James Jones lead Green Bay. While Detroit is lead by the speedster Reggie Bush, who is have a phenomenal season, and the best receiver in the game Calvin Johnson.
The defense favors the Lions as they feature two of the best defensive tackles in the game, Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley. This game will be decided by which quarterback can have a bigger game.
While I believe this game will be high scoring it will decided by one touchdown on a mistake by one team. I believe both quarterbacks can go over 300 yards in this game but I think Matt Stafford will throw a game deciding interception that will cause the Packers to win the game.
Green Bay 42- Detroit 35
Kansas City -2.5 at Tennessee
Jon: After the other powerhouse games we picked, this may seem out of place, but I think this could be a sleeper game in Week 5.
The Chiefs are unbeaten, and the Titans are trying to retain their lead on the AFC South.
Ryan Fitzpatrick gets the start for Tennessee this week with Jake Locker out with a hip sprain, but Fitzpatrick certainly isn’t a scrub and has some starting experience in the league.
On the other side of the ball, Alex Smith has been a solid quarterback for the Chiefs, but his leading receiver is Jamaal Charles, a running back. Charles has more targets than anyone else on the team, and the Titans are only allowing 35 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs.
Kansas City is a good team, but I think the Titans get the upset of the week behind Chris Johnson who could break 100 yards and at least one touchdown in this one.
Titans 20, Chiefs 16
Curt: Kansas City at Tennessee looks to be a good opportunity to see what Ryan Fitzpatrick can do at the quarterback following the hip injury to Jake Locker.
He went three for eight for 108 but did have a touchdown replacing Locker last week. Kansas City looks to be on a roll this year starting 4-0 after a stomping of the NY Giants. The Chiefs feature Jamaal Charles who leads the team in both rushing yards and receiving yards. Charles has seemed to find his niche in an Andy Reid offense as he just the running back Reid wanted.
On defense the Chiefs feature Justin Houston who looks to have found his rightful home at Kansas City with 7.5 sacks to lead the league. I predict the Chiefs to run away with this game and win by at least three touchdowns. I don’t believe that the Titans have the offensive power to keep up with the Chiefs.
Chiefs 28- Titans 7